ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1CMG | CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $44.49B | 17.35% |
2WSM | WILLIAMS SONOMA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $29.49B | 11.50% |
3CPNG | COUPANG INC | Consumer Cyclical | $27.40B | 10.69% |
4RIVN | RIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $18.68B | 7.29% |
5IP | INTERNATIONAL PAPER CO | Consumer Cyclical | $17.97B | 7.01% |
6YUMC | YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $16.58B | 6.46% |
7W | WAYFAIR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $15.25B | 5.95% |
8FLUT | FLUTTER ENTERTAINMENT PLC | Consumer Cyclical | $14.25B | 5.56% |
9DKNG | DRAFTKINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $9.53B | 3.72% |
10URBN | URBAN OUTFITTERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.26B | 2.83% |
11HRB | H&R BLOCK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.17B | 2.40% |
12MSGE | MADISON SQUARE GARDEN ENTERTAINMENT CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $3.74B | 1.46% |
13PII | POLARIS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.68B | 1.44% |
14HOG | HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.28B | 1.28% |
15GPK | GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO | Consumer Cyclical | $3.19B | 1.25% |
16SHAK | SHAKE SHACK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.11B | 1.21% |
17CARG | CARGURUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.06B | 1.19% |
18RH | RH | Consumer Cyclical | $2.45B | 0.95% |
19DAN | DANA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.27B | 0.88% |
20LIND | LINDBLAD EXPEDITIONS HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.24B | 0.87% |
21CPRI | CAPRI HOLDINGS LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $2.11B | 0.82% |
22ARHS | ARHAUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.92B | 0.75% |
23REAL | THEREALREAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.78B | 0.70% |
24SVV | SAVERS VALUE VILLAGE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.55B | 0.60% |
25SG | SWEETGREEN INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.48B | 0.58% |
26CBRL | CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.45B | 0.57% |
27TRS | TRIMAS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 0.53% |
28BJRI | BJS RESTAURANTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.20B | 0.47% |
29FUN | SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORPORATION | Consumer Cyclical | $1.14B | 0.45% |
30BLMN | BLOOMIN' BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $868M | 0.34% |
31FOXF | FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $728M | 0.28% |
32KRT | KARAT PACKAGING INC | Consumer Cyclical | $707M | 0.28% |
33PZZA | PAPA JOHNS INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $631M | 0.25% |
34MLR | MILLER INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $551M | 0.21% |
35FOSL | FOSSIL GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $517M | 0.20% |
36ETD | ETHAN ALLEN INTERIORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $446M | 0.17% |
37FNKO | FUNKO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $389M | 0.15% |
38SHOE | SHOE STATION GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $386M | 0.15% |
39CTRN | CITI TRENDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $359M | 0.14% |
40CHPT | CHARGEPOINT HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $324M | 0.13% |
41AOUT | AMERICAN OUTDOOR BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $240M | 0.09% |
42SGC | SUPERIOR GROUP OF COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $227M | 0.09% |
43LOVE | LOVESAC CO | Consumer Cyclical | $220M | 0.09% |
44VRA | VERA BRADLEY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $217M | 0.08% |
45ZUMZ | ZUMIEZ INC | Consumer Cyclical | $216M | 0.08% |
46DIBS | 1STDIBSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $199M | 0.08% |
47COOK | TRAEGER INC | Consumer Cyclical | $162M | 0.06% |
48HOFT | HOOKER FURNISHINGS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $156M | 0.06% |
49SRI | STONERIDGE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $145M | 0.06% |
50UFI | UNIFI INC | Consumer Cyclical | $125M | 0.05% |
51WW | WW INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $123M | 0.05% |
52AKA | AKA BRANDS HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $98M | 0.04% |
53LAKE | LAKELAND INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $92M | 0.04% |
54NDLS | NOODLES & CO | Consumer Cyclical | $82M | 0.03% |
55BARK | BARK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $81M | 0.03% |
56PRTS | CARPARTSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $68M | 0.03% |
Full long-leg book as of November 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $256.44B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 302-name universe at November 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.8B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.64, Growth < 0.36 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 87% toward Large, 73% toward Growth. +17% unclassified (10 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → November 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 56 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20261113T032607 rows=2198308 asof=202611 issuers=20261113T063725 rates=20261113T063725
Measured on the 2026-11 formation date across 56 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 335 monthly observations · about 3.4 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | 2.2% | 3.3% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 16.9% | 6.5% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 23.0% | 11.5% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 15.2% | 6.4% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 202611 mo | 3.0% | 8.0% |
| 2025 | 5.3% | 27.4% |
| 2024 | 39.8% | -11.3% |
| 2023 | 66.7% | 27.3% |
| 2022 | -39.9% | -15.1% |
| 2021 | 63.5% | 43.5% |
| 2020 | 59.8% | 3.9% |
| 2019 | 22.0% | 2.4% |
| 2018 | 15.9% | 26.4% |
| 2017 | 42.2% | 18.6% |
| 2016 | 7.4% | 6.6% |
| 2015 | 39.4% | 48.4% |
| 2014 | -8.8% | -17.1% |
| 2013 | 52.4% | 6.4% |
| 2012 | 28.4% | 6.4% |
| 2011 | 4.9% | -3.5% |
| 2010 | 23.5% | -10.5% |
| 2009 | 65.2% | 6.7% |
| 2008 | -36.9% | 16.3% |
| 2007 | -14.6% | -7.0% |
| 2006 | 26.7% | 0.7% |
| 2005 | 9.4% | 24.2% |
| 2004 | 13.3% | -13.0% |
| 2003 | 31.9% | -1.0% |
| 2002 | 0.2% | 25.6% |
| 2001 | 25.6% | 1.6% |
| 2000 | -27.1% | -5.3% |
| 1999 | 12.5% | -3.8% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through November 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical Earnings Quality (Accruals) Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a Earnings Quality (Accruals) signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.