ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1MCD | MCDONALDS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $193.12B | 21.29% |
2SBUX | STARBUCKS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $122.28B | 13.48% |
3BKNG | BOOKING HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $119.88B | 13.22% |
4ABNB | AIRBNB INC | Consumer Cyclical | $108.09B | 11.91% |
5EBAY | EBAY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $52.74B | 5.81% |
6AZO | AUTOZONE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $52.34B | 5.77% |
7EXPE | EXPEDIA GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $30.95B | 3.41% |
8TPR | TAPESTRY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $26.06B | 2.87% |
9RL | RALPH LAUREN CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $23.10B | 2.55% |
10ROL | ROLLINS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $18.12B | 2.00% |
11HAS | HASBRO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $16.99B | 1.87% |
12CART | INSTACART (MAPLEBEAR INC) | Consumer Cyclical | $13.84B | 1.53% |
13DECK | DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $11.28B | 1.24% |
14LULU | LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $11.03B | 1.22% |
15LEVI | LEVI STRAUSS & CO | Consumer Cyclical | $9.22B | 1.02% |
16VFC | V F CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $7.88B | 0.87% |
17ETSY | ETSY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.61B | 0.84% |
18CROX | CROCS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.17B | 0.79% |
19FTDR | FRONTDOOR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.45B | 0.71% |
20ANF | ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO | Consumer Cyclical | $6.39B | 0.70% |
21CZR | CAESARS ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.97B | 0.66% |
22RRR | RED ROCK RESORTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.19B | 0.57% |
23WING | WINGSTOP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.31B | 0.47% |
24PVH | PVH CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $4.28B | 0.47% |
25FIGS | FIGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.76B | 0.41% |
26COLM | COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO | Consumer Cyclical | $3.61B | 0.40% |
27HGV | HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.33B | 0.37% |
28SHAK | SHAKE SHACK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.11B | 0.34% |
29CARG | CARGURUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.06B | 0.34% |
30YETI | YETI HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.80B | 0.31% |
31PTON | PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.47B | 0.27% |
32CPRI | CAPRI HOLDINGS LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $2.11B | 0.23% |
33MCRI | MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.95B | 0.22% |
34REAL | THEREALREAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.78B | 0.20% |
35SBH | SALLY BEAUTY HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.67B | 0.18% |
36EYE | NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.47B | 0.16% |
37CBRL | CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.45B | 0.16% |
38RVLV | REVOLVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.33B | 0.15% |
39BJRI | BJS RESTAURANTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.20B | 0.13% |
40WINA | WINMARK CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $967M | 0.11% |
41TRIP | TRIPADVISOR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $855M | 0.09% |
42MOV | MOVADO GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $713M | 0.08% |
43CARS | CARSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $669M | 0.07% |
44BALY | BALLY'S CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $582M | 0.06% |
45FOSL | FOSSIL GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $517M | 0.06% |
46ETD | ETHAN ALLEN INTERIORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $446M | 0.05% |
47OXM | OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $424M | 0.05% |
48HVT | HAVERTY FURNITURE COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $405M | 0.04% |
49BBW | BUILD-A-BEAR WORKSHOP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $350M | 0.04% |
50JILL | JJILL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $333M | 0.04% |
51LOVE | LOVESAC CO | Consumer Cyclical | $220M | 0.02% |
52RICK | RCI HOSPITALITY HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $207M | 0.02% |
53DIBS | 1STDIBSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $199M | 0.02% |
54BSET | BASSETT FURNITURE INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $187M | 0.02% |
55VNCE | VINCE HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $167M | 0.02% |
56MED | MEDIFAST INC | Consumer Cyclical | $144M | 0.02% |
57WW | WW INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $123M | 0.01% |
58AKA | AKA BRANDS HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $98M | 0.01% |
59CPHC | CANTERBURY PARK HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $81M | 0.01% |
60BARK | BARK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $81M | 0.01% |
Full long-leg book as of November 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $907.17B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 302-name universe at November 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.8B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.64, Growth < 0.36 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 97% toward Large, 67% toward Growth. +1% unclassified (6 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → November 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 60 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20261113T032607 rows=2198308 asof=202611 issuers=20261113T063725 rates=20261113T063725
Measured on the 2026-11 formation date across 60 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 335 monthly observations · about 3.4 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 24%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
Publication date unknown. We don’t have a source year for this signal, so we can’t split its record into before and since publication. That’s a gap in our reference data — not a statement about how the factor performed.
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 7.4% | -18.8% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 2.8% | -8.2% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 7.2% | -11.1% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 8.6% | -0.1% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 202611 mo | 1.0% | 1.2% |
| 2025 | 6.2% | -16.8% |
| 2024 | 8.5% | -36.2% |
| 2023 | 22.7% | -5.4% |
| 2022 | -21.9% | 29.4% |
| 2021 | 13.4% | -7.0% |
| 2020 | 16.2% | -47.3% |
| 2019 | 21.9% | -12.5% |
| 2018 | -1.3% | 25.6% |
| 2017 | 16.2% | -8.4% |
| 2016 | 4.2% | -6.5% |
| 2015 | 5.9% | 10.5% |
| 2014 | 0.9% | -14.2% |
| 2013 | 33.7% | -3.9% |
| 2012 | 26.6% | -7.9% |
| 2011 | 15.2% | 43.5% |
| 2010 | 42.2% | -0.0% |
| 2009 | 66.1% | -2.0% |
| 2008 | -52.9% | -8.5% |
| 2007 | -8.9% | 13.9% |
| 2006 | 11.3% | -2.3% |
| 2005 | -4.1% | 7.8% |
| 2004 | 41.4% | 24.7% |
| 2003 | 52.6% | 8.7% |
| 2002 | -2.5% | 18.9% |
| 2001 | 11.5% | -18.3% |
| 2000 | -14.7% | 62.5% |
| 1999 | 2.8% | 15.6% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through November 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical Gross Margin Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a Gross Margin signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.