ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1SN | SHARKNINJA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $31.02B | 11.61% |
2WSM | WILLIAMS SONOMA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $29.49B | 11.04% |
3BBY | BEST BUY CO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $21.69B | 8.12% |
4AMCR | AMCOR PLC | Consumer Cyclical | $20.25B | 7.58% |
5W | WAYFAIR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $15.25B | 5.71% |
6CART | INSTACART (MAPLEBEAR INC) | Consumer Cyclical | $13.84B | 5.18% |
7LTH | LIFE TIME GROUP HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $10.23B | 3.83% |
8MHK | MOHAWK INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.52B | 3.19% |
9VSXY | VICTORIA'S SECRET & CO | Consumer Cyclical | $8.35B | 3.12% |
10EAT | BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.21B | 3.07% |
11ETSY | ETSY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.61B | 2.85% |
12KMX | CARMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.46B | 2.79% |
13ANDG | ANDERSEN GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.39B | 2.77% |
14URBN | URBAN OUTFITTERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.26B | 2.72% |
15CROX | CROCS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.17B | 2.69% |
16ANF | ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO | Consumer Cyclical | $6.39B | 2.39% |
17HRB | H&R BLOCK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.17B | 2.31% |
18CAKE | CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.29B | 1.98% |
19SIG | SIGNET JEWELERS LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $4.53B | 1.70% |
20VAC | MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $3.96B | 1.48% |
21FIGS | FIGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.76B | 1.41% |
22HOG | HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.28B | 1.23% |
23BOBS | BOB'S DISCOUNT FURNITURE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.70B | 1.01% |
24KSS | KOHLS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $2.66B | 1.00% |
25LIND | LINDBLAD EXPEDITIONS HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.24B | 0.84% |
26ARHS | ARHAUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.92B | 0.72% |
27SBH | SALLY BEAUTY HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.67B | 0.63% |
28SG | SWEETGREEN INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.48B | 0.55% |
29PRSU | PURSUIT ATTRACTIONS & HOSPITALITY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.47B | 0.55% |
30MLKN | MILLERKNOLL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.47B | 0.55% |
31CBRL | CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.45B | 0.54% |
32BJRI | BJS RESTAURANTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.20B | 0.45% |
33HZO | MARINEMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.17B | 0.44% |
34MYE | MYERS INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.07B | 0.40% |
35BLMN | BLOOMIN' BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $868M | 0.32% |
36KRT | KARAT PACKAGING INC | Consumer Cyclical | $707M | 0.26% |
37LEGH | LEGACY HOUSING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $675M | 0.25% |
38CNNE | CANNAE HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $668M | 0.25% |
39WEYS | WEYCO GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $578M | 0.22% |
40FOSL | FOSSIL GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $517M | 0.19% |
41DIN | DINE BRANDS GLOBAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $447M | 0.17% |
42BNED | BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $440M | 0.16% |
43JAKK | JAKKS PACIFIC INC | Consumer Cyclical | $416M | 0.16% |
44HBB | HAMILTON BEACH BRANDS HOLDING CO | Consumer Cyclical | $410M | 0.15% |
45HVT | HAVERTY FURNITURE COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $405M | 0.15% |
46FNKO | FUNKO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $389M | 0.15% |
47RCKY | ROCKY BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $389M | 0.15% |
48JILL | JJILL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $333M | 0.12% |
49CHPT | CHARGEPOINT HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $324M | 0.12% |
50FLXS | FLEXSTEEL INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $313M | 0.12% |
51AOUT | AMERICAN OUTDOOR BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $240M | 0.09% |
52VRA | VERA BRADLEY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $217M | 0.08% |
53CLAR | CLARUS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $198M | 0.07% |
54BSET | BASSETT FURNITURE INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $187M | 0.07% |
55VNCE | VINCE HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $167M | 0.06% |
56RRGB | RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $167M | 0.06% |
57UFI | UNIFI INC | Consumer Cyclical | $125M | 0.05% |
58WW | WW INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $123M | 0.05% |
59BDL | FLANIGANS ENTERPRISES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $107M | 0.04% |
60JRSH | JERASH HOLDINGS (US) INC | Consumer Cyclical | $93M | 0.03% |
Full long-leg book as of November 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $267.11B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 302-name universe at November 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.8B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.64, Growth < 0.36 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 88% toward Large, 67% toward Growth. +7% unclassified (5 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → November 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 60 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20261113T032607 rows=2198308 asof=202611 issuers=20261113T063725 rates=20261113T063725
Measured on the 2026-11 formation date across 60 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 335 monthly observations · about 3.4 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 20%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | -1.3% | 2.1% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 2.5% | -6.1% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | -5.2% | -13.9% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 8.4% | -4.8% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 9.1% | -0.2% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 202611 mo | -5.5% | 0.2% |
| 2025 | -25.1% | -26.0% |
| 2024 | 45.0% | 21.7% |
| 2023 | 10.1% | -52.4% |
| 2022 | -30.0% | 17.8% |
| 2021 | -3.5% | -18.3% |
| 2020 | 107.2% | 61.1% |
| 2019 | 16.4% | -24.9% |
| 2018 | 2.6% | 17.9% |
| 2017 | 20.7% | 6.5% |
| 2016 | -6.5% | -23.2% |
| 2015 | 22.4% | 38.9% |
| 2014 | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| 2013 | 47.6% | 10.5% |
| 2012 | 20.9% | -16.9% |
| 2011 | 4.1% | 10.7% |
| 2010 | 37.1% | -8.5% |
| 2009 | 34.7% | -45.7% |
| 2008 | -42.9% | 40.2% |
| 2007 | 11.1% | 62.5% |
| 2006 | 16.5% | -1.7% |
| 2005 | 4.2% | 9.6% |
| 2004 | 31.8% | 15.4% |
| 2003 | 51.6% | 2.9% |
| 2002 | -17.8% | -7.6% |
| 2001 | 20.2% | -5.9% |
| 2000 | -33.6% | -13.8% |
| 1999 | 19.4% | 22.8% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through November 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical 6-Month Momentum Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a 6-Month Momentum signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.