ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1GM | GENERAL MOTORS CO | Consumer Cyclical | $72.76B | 26.38% |
2F | FORD MOTOR CO | Consumer Cyclical | $47.52B | 17.23% |
3CCL | CARNIVAL CORP LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $39.45B | 14.30% |
4LULU | LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $11.03B | 4.00% |
5MGM | MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL | Consumer Cyclical | $8.41B | 3.05% |
6NCLH | NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDINGS LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $8.29B | 3.01% |
7GAP | GAP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.46B | 2.71% |
8KMX | CARMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.46B | 2.71% |
9M | MACY'S INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.35B | 2.30% |
10CZR | CAESARS ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.97B | 2.16% |
11LEA | LEAR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $5.23B | 1.90% |
12PVH | PVH CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $4.28B | 1.55% |
13BBWI | BATH & BODY WORKS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.25B | 1.54% |
14AEO | AMERICAN EAGLE OUTFITTERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.63B | 1.32% |
15ABG | ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.58B | 1.30% |
16GPK | GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO | Consumer Cyclical | $3.19B | 1.16% |
17KSS | KOHLS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $2.66B | 0.97% |
18PTON | PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.47B | 0.89% |
19RH | RH | Consumer Cyclical | $2.45B | 0.89% |
20PENN | PENN ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.35B | 0.85% |
21DAN | DANA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.27B | 0.82% |
22PRKS | UNITED PARKS & RESORTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.82B | 0.66% |
23SBH | SALLY BEAUTY HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.67B | 0.61% |
24WEN | WENDY'S CO | Consumer Cyclical | $1.56B | 0.57% |
25SVV | SAVERS VALUE VILLAGE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.55B | 0.56% |
26GIII | G III APPAREL GROUP LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 0.49% |
27CRI | CARTERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.24B | 0.45% |
28ADNT | ADIENT PLC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.22B | 0.44% |
29HZO | MARINEMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.17B | 0.42% |
30FUN | SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORPORATION | Consumer Cyclical | $1.14B | 0.42% |
31SMP | STANDARD MOTOR PRODUCTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $982M | 0.36% |
32LGIH | LGI HOMES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $957M | 0.35% |
33WGO | WINNEBAGO INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $883M | 0.32% |
34BLMN | BLOOMIN' BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $868M | 0.31% |
35CARS | CARSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $669M | 0.24% |
36HOV | HOVNANIAN ENTERPRISES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $568M | 0.21% |
37MLR | MILLER INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $551M | 0.20% |
38PTLO | PORTILLO'S INC | Consumer Cyclical | $509M | 0.18% |
39CAL | CALERES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $456M | 0.17% |
40OXM | OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $424M | 0.15% |
41HBB | HAMILTON BEACH BRANDS HOLDING CO | Consumer Cyclical | $410M | 0.15% |
42FNKO | FUNKO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $389M | 0.14% |
43QVCG | QVC GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $388M | 0.14% |
44GCO | GENESCO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $387M | 0.14% |
45SHOE | SHOE STATION GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $386M | 0.14% |
46BBW | BUILD-A-BEAR WORKSHOP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $350M | 0.13% |
47JILL | JJILL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $333M | 0.12% |
48DBI | DESIGNER BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $329M | 0.12% |
49JACK | JACK IN THE BOX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $270M | 0.10% |
50STRT | STRATTEC SECURITY CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $251M | 0.09% |
51SGC | SUPERIOR GROUP OF COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $227M | 0.08% |
52LOVE | LOVESAC CO | Consumer Cyclical | $220M | 0.08% |
53ZUMZ | ZUMIEZ INC | Consumer Cyclical | $216M | 0.08% |
54RICK | RCI HOSPITALITY HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $207M | 0.08% |
55LCUT | LIFETIME BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $177M | 0.06% |
56ONEW | ONEWATER MARINE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $164M | 0.06% |
57COOK | TRAEGER INC | Consumer Cyclical | $162M | 0.06% |
58UFI | UNIFI INC | Consumer Cyclical | $125M | 0.05% |
59AKA | AKA BRANDS HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $98M | 0.04% |
60RGS | REGIS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $59M | 0.02% |
Full long-leg book as of November 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $275.83B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 302-name universe at November 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.8B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.64, Growth < 0.36 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 87% toward Large, 9% toward Growth. +4% unclassified (7 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → November 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 60 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20261113T032607 rows=2198308 asof=202611 issuers=20261113T052248 rates=20261113T052248
Measured on the 2026-11 formation date across 60 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 335 monthly observations · about 3.4 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators disagree about the verdict, not just the value — the choice of method decides the answer here. Historical VaR gives ratio 2.05 (fail) but Gaussian VaR gives 1.91 (pass). The pass/fail conclusion is an artefact of estimator choice, not a property of the strategy.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | 15.5% | 18.9% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 21.4% | 0.7% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 8.7% | 7.3% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 10.3% | -8.2% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 6.4% | -4.9% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 202611 mo | 9.5% | 15.5% |
| 2025 | 26.9% | 18.7% |
| 2024 | 11.0% | -33.2% |
| 2023 | 34.2% | 1.9% |
| 2022 | -29.3% | 42.1% |
| 2021 | 61.7% | 101.3% |
| 2020 | 2.0% | -66.2% |
| 2019 | 16.6% | -15.7% |
| 2018 | -15.8% | -30.6% |
| 2017 | 14.6% | -17.9% |
| 2016 | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| 2015 | -9.3% | -21.4% |
| 2014 | 5.4% | 11.9% |
| 2013 | 36.9% | -11.4% |
| 2012 | 32.1% | 17.6% |
| 2011 | -11.3% | -7.4% |
| 2010 | 42.6% | -3.9% |
| 2009 | 104.3% | 40.2% |
| 2008 | -57.8% | -0.5% |
| 2007 | -25.7% | -23.8% |
| 2006 | 14.6% | 1.7% |
| 2005 | -7.5% | 3.2% |
| 2004 | 13.0% | -19.9% |
| 2003 | 51.6% | -6.6% |
| 2002 | -14.2% | 8.0% |
| 2001 | -1.3% | -14.8% |
| 2000 | -6.0% | 63.1% |
| 1999 | -3.3% | -47.3% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through November 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical OCFP Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a OCFP signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.