ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1AMZN | AMAZON COM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.89T | 61.19% |
2HD | HOME DEPOT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $347.46B | 7.35% |
3MCD | MCDONALDS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $193.12B | 4.09% |
4TJX | TJX COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $149.57B | 3.16% |
5LOW | LOWES COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $127.62B | 2.70% |
6BKNG | BOOKING HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $119.88B | 2.54% |
7ABNB | AIRBNB INC | Consumer Cyclical | $108.09B | 2.29% |
8CVNA | CARVANA CO | Consumer Cyclical | $78.16B | 1.65% |
9ROST | ROSS STORES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $75.79B | 1.60% |
10ORLY | O REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $73.44B | 1.55% |
11EBAY | EBAY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $52.74B | 1.12% |
12AZO | AUTOZONE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $52.34B | 1.11% |
13CMG | CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $44.49B | 0.94% |
14YUM | YUM BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $42.74B | 0.90% |
15SN | SHARKNINJA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $31.02B | 0.66% |
16WSM | WILLIAMS SONOMA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $29.49B | 0.62% |
17ULTA | ULTA BEAUTY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $27.83B | 0.59% |
18TPR | TAPESTRY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $26.06B | 0.55% |
19RL | RALPH LAUREN CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $23.10B | 0.49% |
20ROL | ROLLINS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $18.12B | 0.38% |
21HAS | HASBRO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $16.99B | 0.36% |
22NVR | NVR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $15.38B | 0.33% |
23CART | INSTACART (MAPLEBEAR INC) | Consumer Cyclical | $13.84B | 0.29% |
24FIVE | FIVE BELOW INC | Consumer Cyclical | $13.61B | 0.29% |
25TXRH | TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $12.21B | 0.26% |
26DECK | DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $11.28B | 0.24% |
27LULU | LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $11.03B | 0.23% |
28DPZ | DOMINOS PIZZA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $10.96B | 0.23% |
29MUSA | MURPHY USA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $9.68B | 0.20% |
30EAT | BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.21B | 0.17% |
31ETSY | ETSY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.61B | 0.16% |
32URBN | URBAN OUTFITTERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.26B | 0.15% |
33CROX | CROCS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.17B | 0.15% |
34FTDR | FRONTDOOR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.45B | 0.14% |
35ANF | ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO | Consumer Cyclical | $6.39B | 0.14% |
36HRB | H&R BLOCK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.17B | 0.13% |
37CVCO | CAVCO INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.90B | 0.10% |
38WING | WINGSTOP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.31B | 0.09% |
39BBWI | BATH & BODY WORKS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.25B | 0.09% |
40GNTX | GENTEX CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $3.98B | 0.08% |
41GTX | GARRETT MOTION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.97B | 0.08% |
42FIGS | FIGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.76B | 0.08% |
43OSW | ONESPAWORLD HOLDINGS LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $3.07B | 0.07% |
44CARG | CARGURUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.06B | 0.06% |
45YETI | YETI HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.80B | 0.06% |
46DAN | DANA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.27B | 0.05% |
47BKE | BUCKLE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.26B | 0.05% |
48MCRI | MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.95B | 0.04% |
49BLBD | BLUE BIRD CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.76B | 0.04% |
50TRS | TRIMAS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 0.03% |
51XPEL | XPEL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.04B | 0.02% |
52WINA | WINMARK CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $967M | 0.02% |
53KRT | KARAT PACKAGING INC | Consumer Cyclical | $707M | 0.01% |
54WEYS | WEYCO GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $578M | 0.01% |
55XMAX | XMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $423M | 0.01% |
56HBB | HAMILTON BEACH BRANDS HOLDING CO | Consumer Cyclical | $410M | 0.01% |
57BBW | BUILD-A-BEAR WORKSHOP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $350M | 0.01% |
58FLXS | FLEXSTEEL INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $313M | 0.01% |
59ELA | ENVELA CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $270M | 0.01% |
60LE | LANDS' END INC | Consumer Cyclical | $264M | 0.01% |
Full long-leg book as of November 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $4.73T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 302-name universe at November 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.8B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.64, Growth < 0.36 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 99% toward Large, 61% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → November 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 60 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
At least 50% of total assets must sit in cash, government securities, other RICs, and other securities limited to 5% of assets and 10% of the issuer's voting securities per issuer.
Arithmetically entailed by '40 Act 5(b)(1) diversification (75%/5% asset leg) — it cannot fail independently, so it is reported outside the tally rather than counted as a separate check.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20261113T032607 rows=2198308 asof=202611 issuers=20261113T063725 rates=20261113T063725
Measured on the 2026-11 formation date across 60 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 335 monthly observations · about 3.4 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 15%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
Publication date unknown. We don’t have a source year for this signal, so we can’t split its record into before and since publication. That’s a gap in our reference data — not a statement about how the factor performed.
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | 8.0% | 29.3% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 11.9% | 19.9% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 1.5% | 13.6% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 9.8% | -3.4% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 8.6% | -0.8% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 202611 mo | 8.4% | 28.7% |
| 2025 | -2.2% | 3.9% |
| 2024 | 24.6% | 40.6% |
| 2023 | 38.9% | -16.1% |
| 2022 | -43.1% | 12.0% |
| 2021 | 32.1% | 40.4% |
| 2020 | 16.1% | -67.6% |
| 2019 | 26.5% | -7.2% |
| 2018 | 0.8% | 3.8% |
| 2017 | 24.5% | -6.9% |
| 2016 | 2.2% | -5.5% |
| 2015 | 9.1% | -31.2% |
| 2014 | 9.1% | 21.3% |
| 2013 | 37.3% | -16.9% |
| 2012 | 14.3% | -15.9% |
| 2011 | 24.3% | 32.7% |
| 2010 | 33.0% | -18.4% |
| 2009 | 39.6% | -29.0% |
| 2008 | -30.6% | 45.1% |
| 2007 | -8.8% | 10.9% |
| 2006 | 8.9% | -11.3% |
| 2005 | -0.7% | 20.5% |
| 2004 | 19.0% | 8.9% |
| 2003 | 34.6% | -15.8% |
| 2002 | -24.5% | -15.7% |
| 2001 | 16.7% | 10.1% |
| 2000 | -24.8% | 52.4% |
| 1999 | 23.3% | 15.9% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through November 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical Return on Assets Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a Return on Assets signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.