ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1HD | HOME DEPOT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $347.46B | 24.17% |
2TJX | TJX COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $149.57B | 10.40% |
3ABNB | AIRBNB INC | Consumer Cyclical | $108.09B | 7.52% |
4RCL | ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $86.12B | 5.99% |
5CVNA | CARVANA CO | Consumer Cyclical | $78.16B | 5.44% |
6ROST | ROSS STORES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $75.79B | 5.27% |
7EBAY | EBAY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $52.74B | 3.67% |
8CMG | CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $44.49B | 3.09% |
9EXPE | EXPEDIA GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $30.95B | 2.15% |
10WSM | WILLIAMS SONOMA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $29.49B | 2.05% |
11ULTA | ULTA BEAUTY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $27.83B | 1.94% |
12QSR | RESTAURANT BRANDS INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $26.29B | 1.83% |
13TPR | TAPESTRY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $26.06B | 1.81% |
14DRI | DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $25.79B | 1.79% |
15LVS | LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $24.66B | 1.72% |
16RL | RALPH LAUREN CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $23.10B | 1.61% |
17BBY | BEST BUY CO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $21.69B | 1.51% |
18TSCO | TRACTOR SUPPLY CO | Consumer Cyclical | $19.00B | 1.32% |
19ROL | ROLLINS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $18.12B | 1.26% |
20HAS | HASBRO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $16.99B | 1.18% |
21BURL | BURLINGTON STORES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $15.82B | 1.10% |
22AVY | AVERY DENNISON CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $14.12B | 0.98% |
23DECK | DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $11.28B | 0.78% |
24SCI | SERVICE CORP INTERNATIONAL | Consumer Cyclical | $10.19B | 0.71% |
25MUSA | MURPHY USA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $9.68B | 0.67% |
26CHWY | CHEWY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $9.08B | 0.63% |
27VSXY | VICTORIA'S SECRET & CO | Consumer Cyclical | $8.35B | 0.58% |
28NCLH | NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDINGS LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $8.29B | 0.58% |
29EAT | BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.21B | 0.57% |
30GAP | GAP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.46B | 0.52% |
31CROX | CROCS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.17B | 0.50% |
32CHDN | CHURCHILL DOWNS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.83B | 0.48% |
33FTDR | FRONTDOOR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.45B | 0.45% |
34ANF | ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO | Consumer Cyclical | $6.39B | 0.44% |
35IBP | INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.95B | 0.41% |
36AN | AUTONATION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.77B | 0.40% |
37WH | WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.75B | 0.40% |
38MTN | VAIL RESORTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.39B | 0.37% |
39CAKE | CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.29B | 0.37% |
40CHH | CHOICE HOTELS INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.26B | 0.37% |
41RRR | RED ROCK RESORTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.19B | 0.36% |
42ALH | ALLIANCE LAUNDRY HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.67B | 0.32% |
43KTB | KONTOOR BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.25B | 0.30% |
44MSGE | MADISON SQUARE GARDEN ENTERTAINMENT CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $3.74B | 0.26% |
45HGV | HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.33B | 0.23% |
46CARG | CARGURUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.06B | 0.21% |
47BOBS | BOB'S DISCOUNT FURNITURE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.70B | 0.19% |
48RH | RH | Consumer Cyclical | $2.45B | 0.17% |
49DAN | DANA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.27B | 0.16% |
50BKE | BUCKLE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.26B | 0.16% |
51CPRI | CAPRI HOLDINGS LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $2.11B | 0.15% |
52BLBD | BLUE BIRD CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.76B | 0.12% |
53WEN | WENDY'S CO | Consumer Cyclical | $1.56B | 0.11% |
54TRS | TRIMAS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 0.09% |
55XMAX | XMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $423M | 0.03% |
56BBW | BUILD-A-BEAR WORKSHOP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $350M | 0.02% |
57CPS | COOPER-STANDARD HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $323M | 0.02% |
58ELA | ENVELA CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $270M | 0.02% |
59LE | LANDS' END INC | Consumer Cyclical | $264M | 0.02% |
60NDLS | NOODLES & CO | Consumer Cyclical | $82M | 0.01% |
Full long-leg book as of November 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $1.44T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 302-name universe at November 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.8B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.64, Growth < 0.36 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 98% toward Large, 84% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → November 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 60 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Close to the line. The engine flags this verdict as one a routine data rebuild could flip. Read it as borderline rather than settled — the margin beside it is the whole story.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
1 verdict(s) sit within 1.0pp of their limit and can be flipped by a routine data rebuild; do not headline them, and always show the margin.
Data version — panel=20261113T032607 rows=2198308 asof=202611 issuers=20261113T063725 rates=20261113T063725
Measured on the 2026-11 formation date across 60 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 335 monthly observations · about 3.4 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 18%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | 4.5% | 7.9% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 9.1% | 1.9% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 9.4% | 0.1% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 8.3% | -0.6% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 202611 mo | 2.1% | 4.5% |
| 2025 | 1.5% | -2.3% |
| 2024 | 15.5% | 1.6% |
| 2023 | 29.6% | 16.2% |
| 2022 | -25.4% | -2.1% |
| 2021 | 28.6% | 14.1% |
| 2020 | 6.9% | -22.7% |
| 2019 | 27.4% | 4.1% |
| 2018 | -5.4% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 27.5% | -1.6% |
| 2016 | 3.4% | -4.2% |
| 2015 | 10.0% | -21.3% |
| 2014 | 7.1% | -1.2% |
| 2013 | 34.1% | -15.7% |
| 2012 | 14.6% | -9.9% |
| 2011 | 16.9% | 38.3% |
| 2010 | 28.9% | -19.8% |
| 2009 | 47.8% | -23.6% |
| 2008 | -37.6% | 15.3% |
| 2007 | -4.2% | 7.7% |
| 2006 | 6.4% | -8.7% |
| 2005 | 1.6% | 7.4% |
| 2004 | 13.6% | -10.7% |
| 2003 | 45.4% | 3.4% |
| 2002 | -12.6% | -0.3% |
| 2001 | 15.5% | -3.8% |
| 2000 | -21.5% | 55.6% |
| 1999 | 6.8% | 2.1% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through November 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical Return on Equity Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a Return on Equity signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.