ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1GM | GENERAL MOTORS CO | Consumer Cyclical | $72.76B | 35.88% |
2F | FORD MOTOR CO | Consumer Cyclical | $47.52B | 23.43% |
3KMX | CARMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.46B | 3.68% |
4LAD | LITHIA MOTORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.42B | 3.17% |
5M | MACY'S INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.35B | 3.13% |
6AN | AUTONATION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.77B | 2.85% |
7LEA | LEAR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $5.23B | 2.58% |
8LKQ | LKQ CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $4.97B | 2.45% |
9THO | THOR INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.99B | 1.97% |
10ABG | ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.58B | 1.77% |
11GPK | GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO | Consumer Cyclical | $3.19B | 1.58% |
12GPI | GROUP 1 AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.07B | 1.52% |
13AAP | ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.76B | 1.36% |
14KSS | KOHLS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $2.66B | 1.31% |
15PENN | PENN ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.35B | 1.16% |
16DAN | DANA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.27B | 1.12% |
17SAH | SONIC AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.90B | 0.94% |
18WHR | WHIRLPOOL CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.90B | 0.94% |
19CCS | CENTURY COMMUNITIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.47B | 0.72% |
20MLKN | MILLERKNOLL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.47B | 0.72% |
21MBC | MASTERBRAND INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.26B | 0.62% |
22ADNT | ADIENT PLC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.22B | 0.60% |
23FUN | SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORPORATION | Consumer Cyclical | $1.14B | 0.56% |
24DFH | DREAM FINDERS HOMES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $997M | 0.49% |
25WGO | WINNEBAGO INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $883M | 0.44% |
26BLMN | BLOOMIN' BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $868M | 0.43% |
27PZZA | PAPA JOHNS INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $631M | 0.31% |
28BALY | BALLY'S CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $582M | 0.29% |
29HOV | HOVNANIAN ENTERPRISES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $568M | 0.28% |
30CAL | CALERES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $456M | 0.22% |
31BNED | BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $440M | 0.22% |
32OXM | OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $424M | 0.21% |
33MBUU | MALIBU BOATS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $400M | 0.20% |
34FNKO | FUNKO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $389M | 0.19% |
35QVCG | QVC GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $388M | 0.19% |
36GCO | GENESCO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $387M | 0.19% |
37SHOE | SHOE STATION GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $386M | 0.19% |
38CTRN | CITI TRENDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $359M | 0.18% |
39DBI | DESIGNER BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $329M | 0.16% |
40MNRO | MONRO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $324M | 0.16% |
41CPS | COOPER-STANDARD HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $323M | 0.16% |
42JACK | JACK IN THE BOX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $270M | 0.13% |
43LE | LANDS' END INC | Consumer Cyclical | $264M | 0.13% |
44SGC | SUPERIOR GROUP OF COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $227M | 0.11% |
45LOVE | LOVESAC CO | Consumer Cyclical | $220M | 0.11% |
46ZUMZ | ZUMIEZ INC | Consumer Cyclical | $216M | 0.11% |
47LCUT | LIFETIME BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $177M | 0.09% |
48RRGB | RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $167M | 0.08% |
49ONEW | ONEWATER MARINE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $164M | 0.08% |
50COOK | TRAEGER INC | Consumer Cyclical | $162M | 0.08% |
51MPAA | MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $146M | 0.07% |
52SRI | STONERIDGE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $145M | 0.07% |
53UFI | UNIFI INC | Consumer Cyclical | $125M | 0.06% |
54WW | WW INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $123M | 0.06% |
55KEQU | KEWAUNEE SCIENTIFIC CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $104M | 0.05% |
56AKA | AKA BRANDS HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $98M | 0.05% |
57NDLS | NOODLES & CO | Consumer Cyclical | $82M | 0.04% |
58BARK | BARK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $81M | 0.04% |
59PRTS | CARPARTSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $68M | 0.03% |
60RGS | REGIS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $59M | 0.03% |
Full long-leg book as of November 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $202.78B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 302-name universe at November 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.8B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.64, Growth < 0.36 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 85% toward Large, 13% toward Growth. +4% unclassified (13 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → November 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 60 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
At least 50% of total assets must sit in cash, government securities, other RICs, and other securities limited to 5% of assets and 10% of the issuer's voting securities per issuer.
Close to the line. The engine flags this verdict as one a routine data rebuild could flip. Read it as borderline rather than settled — the margin beside it is the whole story.
Arithmetically entailed by '40 Act 5(b)(1) diversification (75%/5% asset leg) — it cannot fail independently, so it is reported outside the tally rather than counted as a separate check.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
1 verdict(s) sit within 1.0pp of their limit and can be flipped by a routine data rebuild; do not headline them, and always show the margin.
Data version — panel=20261113T032607 rows=2198308 asof=202611 issuers=20261113T052248 rates=20261113T052248
Measured on the 2026-11 formation date across 60 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 335 monthly observations · about 3.4 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | 8.8% | 2.3% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 17.0% | 0.1% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 14.8% | -1.3% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 8.6% | -0.8% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 202611 mo | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| 2025 | 21.4% | 12.5% |
| 2024 | 7.4% | -19.9% |
| 2023 | 30.3% | -5.8% |
| 2022 | -15.6% | 42.0% |
| 2021 | 82.1% | 55.2% |
| 2020 | 30.4% | -21.3% |
| 2019 | 19.5% | -4.1% |
| 2018 | -21.6% | -29.9% |
| 2017 | 15.0% | -14.3% |
| 2016 | 11.4% | 8.6% |
| 2015 | -8.9% | -24.5% |
| 2014 | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| 2013 | 41.9% | 1.6% |
| 2012 | 23.3% | 4.4% |
| 2011 | -30.0% | -35.0% |
| 2010 | 41.9% | 4.6% |
| 2009 | 132.3% | 74.6% |
| 2008 | -62.4% | -28.9% |
| 2007 | -29.2% | -33.8% |
| 2006 | 22.5% | 10.2% |
| 2005 | -14.5% | -11.0% |
| 2004 | 4.0% | -21.8% |
| 2003 | 55.9% | 12.2% |
| 2002 | -23.7% | 1.6% |
| 2001 | 19.6% | 14.7% |
| 2000 | 18.3% | 72.9% |
| 1999 | 22.6% | 5.0% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through November 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical Sales-to-Price Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a Sales-to-Price signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.