ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1DHI | HORTON D R INC | Consumer Cyclical | $40.40B | 21.57% |
2PHM | PULTEGROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $23.36B | 12.47% |
3LEN | LENNAR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $19.88B | 10.62% |
4NVR | NVR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $15.38B | 8.21% |
5GME | GAMESTOP CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $12.93B | 6.90% |
6MTN | VAIL RESORTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.39B | 2.88% |
7RUSHA | RUSH ENTERPRISES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.23B | 2.79% |
8LKQ | LKQ CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $4.97B | 2.66% |
9BBWI | BATH & BODY WORKS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.25B | 2.27% |
10MTH | MERITAGE HOMES CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $4.17B | 2.23% |
11HOG | HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.28B | 1.75% |
12MHO | M/I HOMES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.17B | 1.69% |
13GPI | GROUP 1 AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.07B | 1.64% |
14KBH | KB HOME | Consumer Cyclical | $2.94B | 1.57% |
15CALY | CALLAWAY GOLF CO | Consumer Cyclical | $2.90B | 1.55% |
16KSS | KOHLS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $2.66B | 1.42% |
17GRBK | GREEN BRICK PARTNERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.58B | 1.38% |
18DAN | DANA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.27B | 1.21% |
19CPRI | CAPRI HOLDINGS LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $2.11B | 1.12% |
20DRVN | DRIVEN BRANDS HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.90B | 1.02% |
21WHR | WHIRLPOOL CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.90B | 1.01% |
22PRKS | UNITED PARKS & RESORTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.82B | 0.97% |
23CCS | CENTURY COMMUNITIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.47B | 0.78% |
24CBRL | CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.45B | 0.77% |
25GIII | G III APPAREL GROUP LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 0.72% |
26TRS | TRIMAS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 0.72% |
27HZO | MARINEMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.17B | 0.62% |
28FUN | SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORPORATION | Consumer Cyclical | $1.14B | 0.61% |
29MYE | MYERS INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.07B | 0.57% |
30DFH | DREAM FINDERS HOMES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $997M | 0.53% |
31LGIH | LGI HOMES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $957M | 0.51% |
32WGO | WINNEBAGO INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $883M | 0.47% |
33TRIP | TRIPADVISOR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $855M | 0.46% |
34FOXF | FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $728M | 0.39% |
35CNNE | CANNAE HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $668M | 0.36% |
36PZZA | PAPA JOHNS INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $631M | 0.34% |
37HOV | HOVNANIAN ENTERPRISES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $568M | 0.30% |
38MLR | MILLER INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $551M | 0.29% |
39FOSL | FOSSIL GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $517M | 0.28% |
40ETD | ETHAN ALLEN INTERIORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $446M | 0.24% |
41OXM | OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $424M | 0.23% |
42XMAX | XMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $423M | 0.23% |
43SHOE | SHOE STATION GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $386M | 0.21% |
44JILL | JJILL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $333M | 0.18% |
45MNRO | MONRO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $324M | 0.17% |
46JACK | JACK IN THE BOX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $270M | 0.14% |
47AOUT | AMERICAN OUTDOOR BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $240M | 0.13% |
48VRA | VERA BRADLEY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $217M | 0.12% |
49RRGB | RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $167M | 0.09% |
50COOK | TRAEGER INC | Consumer Cyclical | $162M | 0.09% |
51HOFT | HOOKER FURNISHINGS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $156M | 0.08% |
52MPAA | MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $146M | 0.08% |
53SRI | STONERIDGE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $145M | 0.08% |
54MED | MEDIFAST INC | Consumer Cyclical | $144M | 0.08% |
55UFI | UNIFI INC | Consumer Cyclical | $125M | 0.07% |
56VIRC | VIRCO MFG CORPORATION | Consumer Cyclical | $100M | 0.05% |
57BARK | BARK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $81M | 0.04% |
58PRTS | CARPARTSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $68M | 0.04% |
Full long-leg book as of November 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $187.30B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 302-name universe at November 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.8B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.64, Growth < 0.36 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 77% toward Large, 16% toward Growth. +2% unclassified (5 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → November 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 58 names now. The faded start covers early months with a much thinner universe. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20261113T032607 rows=2198308 asof=202611 issuers=20261113T063725 rates=20261113T063725
Measured on the 2026-11 formation date across 58 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 335 monthly observations · about 3.4 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
Publication date unknown. We don’t have a source year for this signal, so we can’t split its record into before and since publication. That’s a gap in our reference data — not a statement about how the factor performed.
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | -10.0% | -33.9% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 5.3% | -13.5% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 2.4% | -5.9% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 5.4% | -15.4% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 6.1% | -9.0% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 202611 mo | -4.9% | -30.0% |
| 2025 | -4.0% | -10.5% |
| 2024 | 13.9% | -1.2% |
| 2023 | 16.3% | -39.2% |
| 2022 | -12.9% | 70.4% |
| 2021 | 8.6% | -9.5% |
| 2020 | 11.7% | -45.9% |
| 2019 | 18.9% | -7.3% |
| 2018 | -6.4% | -21.1% |
| 2017 | 23.1% | -15.3% |
| 2016 | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| 2015 | -3.7% | -32.9% |
| 2014 | 6.7% | 14.2% |
| 2013 | 45.1% | -1.7% |
| 2012 | 39.7% | 7.5% |
| 2011 | -11.6% | -11.4% |
| 2010 | 30.5% | -10.2% |
| 2009 | 64.6% | -0.0% |
| 2008 | -36.5% | 34.3% |
| 2007 | -26.8% | -34.7% |
| 2006 | 16.0% | 12.5% |
| 2005 | -9.5% | -8.2% |
| 2004 | 14.6% | -19.6% |
| 2003 | 46.0% | -8.6% |
| 2002 | -14.5% | -7.7% |
| 2001 | 10.3% | -25.7% |
| 2000 | -10.9% | 15.7% |
| 1999 | -0.1% | 3.8% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through November 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical Sales Discipline Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a Sales Discipline signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.