ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1BKNG | BOOKING HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $119.88B | 19.94% |
2ORLY | O REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $73.44B | 12.21% |
3GM | GENERAL MOTORS CO | Consumer Cyclical | $72.76B | 12.10% |
4LVS | LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $24.66B | 4.10% |
5PHM | PULTEGROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $23.36B | 3.89% |
6LEN | LENNAR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $19.88B | 3.31% |
7YUMC | YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $16.58B | 2.76% |
8NVR | NVR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $15.38B | 2.56% |
9CART | INSTACART (MAPLEBEAR INC) | Consumer Cyclical | $13.84B | 2.30% |
10CCK | CROWN HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $13.02B | 2.16% |
11DECK | DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $11.28B | 1.88% |
12LULU | LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $11.03B | 1.83% |
13BWA | BORGWARNER INC | Consumer Cyclical | $10.24B | 1.70% |
14ALV | AUTOLIV INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.56B | 1.42% |
15MHK | MOHAWK INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.52B | 1.42% |
16MGM | MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL | Consumer Cyclical | $8.41B | 1.40% |
17EAT | BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.21B | 1.37% |
18ETSY | ETSY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.61B | 1.27% |
19GAP | GAP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.46B | 1.24% |
20CROX | CROCS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.17B | 1.19% |
21FTDR | FRONTDOOR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.45B | 1.07% |
22LAD | LITHIA MOTORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.42B | 1.07% |
23ANF | ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO | Consumer Cyclical | $6.39B | 1.06% |
24AN | AUTONATION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.77B | 0.96% |
25BYD | BOYD GAMING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $5.45B | 0.91% |
26LEA | LEAR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $5.23B | 0.87% |
27TNL | TRAVEL & LEISURE CO | Consumer Cyclical | $4.71B | 0.78% |
28SIG | SIGNET JEWELERS LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $4.53B | 0.75% |
29PLNT | PLANET FITNESS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.48B | 0.75% |
30MAT | MATTEL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.43B | 0.74% |
31MTH | MERITAGE HOMES CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $4.17B | 0.69% |
32ASO | ACADEMY SPORTS & OUTDOORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.14B | 0.69% |
33GNTX | GENTEX CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $3.98B | 0.66% |
34GTX | GARRETT MOTION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.97B | 0.66% |
35COLM | COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO | Consumer Cyclical | $3.61B | 0.60% |
36ABG | ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.58B | 0.60% |
37HGV | HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.33B | 0.55% |
38HOG | HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.28B | 0.54% |
39GPI | GROUP 1 AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.07B | 0.51% |
40CARG | CARGURUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.06B | 0.51% |
41KBH | KB HOME | Consumer Cyclical | $2.94B | 0.49% |
42CALY | CALLAWAY GOLF CO | Consumer Cyclical | $2.90B | 0.48% |
43YETI | YETI HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.80B | 0.46% |
44PHIN | PHINIA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.61B | 0.43% |
45BFAM | BRIGHT HORIZONS FAMILY SOLUTIONS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.53B | 0.42% |
46DAN | DANA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.27B | 0.38% |
47CPRI | CAPRI HOLDINGS LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $2.11B | 0.35% |
48VC | VISTEON CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.95B | 0.33% |
49SAH | SONIC AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.90B | 0.32% |
50PRKS | UNITED PARKS & RESORTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.82B | 0.30% |
51SBH | SALLY BEAUTY HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.67B | 0.28% |
52TRS | TRIMAS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 0.22% |
53CARS | CARSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $669M | 0.11% |
54CNNE | CANNAE HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $668M | 0.11% |
55DIN | DINE BRANDS GLOBAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $447M | 0.07% |
56BBW | BUILD-A-BEAR WORKSHOP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $350M | 0.06% |
57FLXS | FLEXSTEEL INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $313M | 0.05% |
58ZUMZ | ZUMIEZ INC | Consumer Cyclical | $216M | 0.04% |
59RICK | RCI HOSPITALITY HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $207M | 0.03% |
60DIBS | 1STDIBSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $199M | 0.03% |
Full long-leg book as of November 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $601.30B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 302-name universe at November 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.8B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.64, Growth < 0.36 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 92% toward Large, 37% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → November 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 60 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20261113T032607 rows=2198308 asof=202611 issuers=20261113T043645 rates=20261113T043645
Measured on the 2026-11 formation date across 60 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 335 monthly observations · about 3.4 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | 0.6% | -10.5% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 13.9% | -9.3% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 7.6% | -4.0% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 14.8% | -10.9% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 12.1% | -1.9% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 202611 mo | 0.2% | -9.9% |
| 2025 | 14.4% | 10.9% |
| 2024 | 17.8% | -28.6% |
| 2023 | 25.4% | -37.1% |
| 2022 | -18.7% | 60.7% |
| 2021 | 50.8% | 58.4% |
| 2020 | 13.2% | -63.2% |
| 2019 | 33.7% | 6.4% |
| 2018 | -2.1% | -19.2% |
| 2017 | 29.1% | -12.5% |
| 2016 | 8.1% | 0.2% |
| 2015 | 7.8% | -6.6% |
| 2014 | 19.3% | 12.6% |
| 2013 | 42.0% | 1.3% |
| 2012 | 24.7% | -4.2% |
| 2011 | 13.1% | 32.4% |
| 2010 | 26.2% | -17.5% |
| 2009 | 41.6% | -19.1% |
| 2008 | -38.8% | 35.3% |
| 2007 | -14.4% | -12.8% |
| 2006 | 18.9% | 16.3% |
| 2005 | -0.0% | 6.3% |
| 2004 | 20.0% | -12.4% |
| 2003 | 39.4% | -16.1% |
| 2002 | -18.5% | -11.4% |
| 2001 | 34.4% | 17.1% |
| 2000 | 0.4% | 58.8% |
| 1999 | 7.6% | 17.1% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through November 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical ShareIss1Y Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a ShareIss1Y signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.