ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1SBUX | STARBUCKS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $122.28B | 31.10% |
2BKNG | BOOKING HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $119.88B | 30.49% |
3LVS | LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $24.66B | 6.27% |
4IP | INTERNATIONAL PAPER CO | Consumer Cyclical | $17.97B | 4.57% |
5H | HYATT HOTELS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $17.48B | 4.45% |
6MGM | MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL | Consumer Cyclical | $8.41B | 2.14% |
7ETSY | ETSY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.61B | 1.94% |
8SON | SONOCO PRODUCTS CO | Consumer Cyclical | $4.81B | 1.22% |
9MBLY | MOBILEYE GLOBAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.79B | 1.22% |
10PVH | PVH CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $4.28B | 1.09% |
11BBWI | BATH & BODY WORKS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.25B | 1.08% |
12KTB | KONTOOR BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.25B | 1.08% |
13MSGE | MADISON SQUARE GARDEN ENTERTAINMENT CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $3.74B | 0.95% |
14PII | POLARIS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.68B | 0.94% |
15HOG | HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.28B | 0.83% |
16GPK | GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO | Consumer Cyclical | $3.19B | 0.81% |
17CARG | CARGURUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.06B | 0.78% |
18CALY | CALLAWAY GOLF CO | Consumer Cyclical | $2.90B | 0.74% |
19RSI | RUSH STREET INTERACTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.72B | 0.69% |
20KSS | KOHLS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $2.66B | 0.68% |
21BFAM | BRIGHT HORIZONS FAMILY SOLUTIONS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.53B | 0.64% |
22PTON | PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.47B | 0.63% |
23DAN | DANA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.27B | 0.58% |
24CPRI | CAPRI HOLDINGS LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $2.11B | 0.54% |
25DRVN | DRIVEN BRANDS HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.90B | 0.48% |
26CBRL | CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.45B | 0.37% |
27TRS | TRIMAS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 0.34% |
28HZO | MARINEMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.17B | 0.30% |
29FUN | SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORPORATION | Consumer Cyclical | $1.14B | 0.29% |
30MYE | MYERS INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.07B | 0.27% |
31BLMN | BLOOMIN' BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $868M | 0.22% |
32TRIP | TRIPADVISOR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $855M | 0.22% |
33FOXF | FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $728M | 0.19% |
34KRT | KARAT PACKAGING INC | Consumer Cyclical | $707M | 0.18% |
35CNNE | CANNAE HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $668M | 0.17% |
36MLR | MILLER INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $551M | 0.14% |
37ETD | ETHAN ALLEN INTERIORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $446M | 0.11% |
38BNED | BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $440M | 0.11% |
39HBB | HAMILTON BEACH BRANDS HOLDING CO | Consumer Cyclical | $410M | 0.10% |
40FNKO | FUNKO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $389M | 0.10% |
41CHPT | CHARGEPOINT HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $324M | 0.08% |
42ESCA | ESCALADE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $289M | 0.07% |
43JACK | JACK IN THE BOX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $270M | 0.07% |
44KWY | KINGSWAY CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $263M | 0.07% |
45AOUT | AMERICAN OUTDOOR BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $240M | 0.06% |
46SGC | SUPERIOR GROUP OF COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $227M | 0.06% |
47VRA | VERA BRADLEY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $217M | 0.06% |
48RICK | RCI HOSPITALITY HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $207M | 0.05% |
49DIBS | 1STDIBSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $199M | 0.05% |
50CLAR | CLARUS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $198M | 0.05% |
51RRGB | RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $167M | 0.04% |
52ONEW | ONEWATER MARINE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $164M | 0.04% |
53COOK | TRAEGER INC | Consumer Cyclical | $162M | 0.04% |
54HOFT | HOOKER FURNISHINGS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $156M | 0.04% |
55SRI | STONERIDGE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $145M | 0.04% |
56UFI | UNIFI INC | Consumer Cyclical | $125M | 0.03% |
57VIRC | VIRCO MFG CORPORATION | Consumer Cyclical | $100M | 0.03% |
58LAKE | LAKELAND INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $92M | 0.02% |
59NDLS | NOODLES & CO | Consumer Cyclical | $82M | 0.02% |
60PRTS | CARPARTSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $68M | 0.02% |
Full long-leg book as of November 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $393.13B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 302-name universe at November 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.8B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.64, Growth < 0.36 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 90% toward Large, 62% toward Growth. +3% unclassified (10 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → November 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 60 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
At least 50% of total assets must sit in cash, government securities, other RICs, and other securities limited to 5% of assets and 10% of the issuer's voting securities per issuer.
Arithmetically entailed by '40 Act 5(b)(1) diversification (75%/5% asset leg) — it cannot fail independently, so it is reported outside the tally rather than counted as a separate check.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20261113T032607 rows=2198308 asof=202611 issuers=20261113T063725 rates=20261113T063725
Measured on the 2026-11 formation date across 60 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 335 monthly observations · about 3.4 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | -1.4% | -10.9% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 13.2% | -8.0% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 5.2% | -6.7% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 13.0% | -3.1% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 9.4% | -1.7% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 202611 mo | -5.1% | -13.9% |
| 2025 | 18.7% | 17.3% |
| 2024 | 14.4% | -28.4% |
| 2023 | 40.4% | -18.4% |
| 2022 | -31.5% | 11.1% |
| 2021 | 46.1% | 33.2% |
| 2020 | 19.4% | 12.7% |
| 2019 | 20.6% | -13.8% |
| 2018 | -4.4% | -19.6% |
| 2017 | 36.2% | 6.8% |
| 2016 | 12.1% | 3.2% |
| 2015 | -1.9% | 0.9% |
| 2014 | 8.0% | 1.4% |
| 2013 | 42.6% | -5.4% |
| 2012 | 24.6% | -5.2% |
| 2011 | 1.6% | 2.0% |
| 2010 | 27.9% | -10.5% |
| 2009 | 57.5% | 1.8% |
| 2008 | -35.0% | 33.6% |
| 2007 | -7.3% | -7.0% |
| 2006 | 16.3% | 4.4% |
| 2005 | 0.3% | 4.9% |
| 2004 | 11.4% | -23.5% |
| 2003 | 31.0% | -9.1% |
| 2002 | -16.2% | -10.2% |
| 2001 | 30.4% | 4.2% |
| 2000 | -19.2% | 5.8% |
| 1999 | -7.6% | 2.1% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through November 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical dNOA Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a dNOA signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.