What it measures

Cash and short-term investments (che) plus .715*receivables (rect) + .547*inventory (invt) + .535* property, plant and equipment (ppent), scaled by total assets (at). Only defined for manufacturing firms (SIC $\geq$ 2000 and SIC <4000). Exclude the lowest tercile of manufacturing firms by total assets.

Why it should work

A investment signal from the cross-sectional asset-pricing literature (Open Source Asset Pricing).

Full Sharpe
0.09
Ann. Return (LS)
1.9%
Ann. Volatility
20.7%
Max Drawdown
-68.4%

Growth of $1 — long-short

Technology only · cap-weighted · 331 months

Technology only
Where the edge comes from
Long leg Sharpe
0.45
top bucket, long-only
Long leg ann. return
15.6%
the buyable side
Bottom bucket Sharpe
0.56
the basket we short
Bottom bucket ann. return
13.7%
lower ⇒ wider spread

The bottom-bucket figures are that basket’s ownreturn (a long position in what the strategy shorts) — not the short side’s P&L. Long-short return = long leg − bottom bucket, so a falling bottom bucket widens the spread.

Performance by period
train
val
test
Sharpe by split
Train ’00–’12-0.16
Val ’13–’18-0.27
Test ’19–’260.38
Test FF5 α (ann.)
15.0%
alpha vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
1.84
not significant
Monthly turnover
10%
of the long leg, per rebalance

Source study

Hahn and Lee · 2009

Journal of Finance

243 citations
View on Google Scholar

Worked example

Live inputs for a real holding

AAPL · July 2026
InputValue
cashneq45,572,000,000$
receivables53,511,000,000$
inventory6,747,000,000$
ppnenet50,116,000,000$
assets371,082,000,000$
Formula
(cashneq + 0.715*receivables + 0.547*inventory + 0.535*ppnenet) / assets
Raw0.3081Signed (×+1)0.3081

signed_value is the internal ranking value; only its cross-sectional rank matters. $-vs-$M unit mix means ratio magnitudes carry a constant offset and are not comparable to textbook levels.

Replication

How closely this rebuild tracks the published research

Replicable
Open Source Asset Pricing signaltang
Correlation — full sample—
Correlation — test window—
Published t-stat3.37

The OSAP comparison is only computed for the all-stocks variant — switch to “All stocks” above to see how the rebuild tracks the published series.

Style tilt

Size × value map of the long leg

85 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
2%3
51%3
37%9
2%8
3%12
1%5
1%18
<1%15
<1%9

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 421-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $8.9B, Small < $1.9B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.63, Growth < 0.38 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 96% toward Large, 67% toward Growth. +2% unclassified (3 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt96% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt67% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 85 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2009
Before publication (pre-2009)
-0.10
Sharpe · -1.9% p.a.
January 1999 – December 2009 · 132 mo
Since publication
0.21
Sharpe · 4.4% p.a.
January 2010 – July 2026 · 199 mo
Change in Sharpe+0.30the return flipped from negative to positive since publication

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Relative VaR against the designated reference portfolio — as implemented here

long-short

This assessment describes the research long-short construction — long the top bucket, short the bottom.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i) relative VaR (exception unavailable)

This fund does NOT qualify for the limited-derivatives-user exception (100% of net assets vs <= 10% of net assets), so the relative VaR test governs. Note the inversion: a dollar-neutral long-short book suppresses the market risk the VaR ratio measures and so tends to pass it, while being barred from the exception by construction — what disqualifies the strategy is the exposure threshold, not the risk limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Does not qualify
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
100% of net assets
Margin
−90pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Within the limit as implemented
Measured
1.2 (95% CI 0.8-1.9)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
11.7%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.21x
within
parametric
1.39x
within
cornish fisher
1.36x
within · unreliable

The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
50%
13 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-1.27
Sharpe, January 2021 – December 2023
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
-0.03
Dispersion
0.56
Best window
0.92

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long-short is the research line; the long leg is what a long-only fund could hold

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong-shortLong leg
1 yearcum.108.2%145.7%
3 yearsp.a.18.0%49.6%
5 yearsp.a.1.2%15.7%
10 yearsp.a.3.5%24.8%
Since inceptionp.a.-0.2%10.1%
Calendar years
YearLong-shortLong leg
20267 mo79.1%95.5%
202525.1%49.8%
2024-21.4%9.8%
20233.3%48.8%
2022-33.7%-51.9%
2021-24.0%-10.7%
202068.9%123.0%
201910.2%55.8%
2018-14.7%-10.0%
2017-4.3%29.2%
2016-6.6%11.2%
2015-1.2%1.7%
2014-14.5%4.7%
201314.3%35.0%
2012-0.4%15.7%
20111.3%1.4%
201015.1%32.6%
20093.7%72.1%
2008-24.0%-49.5%
20070.5%4.0%
2006-9.4%3.5%
200514.3%11.1%
2004-0.6%5.4%
200312.1%46.2%
2002-12.9%-40.8%
2001-24.2%-43.5%
2000-19.7%-49.3%
199935.0%152.0%

Long-short is the research line (long the top bucket, short the bottom); the long leg alone is what a long-only fund could actually hold. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Methodology

Signal computed monthly from Sharadar point-in-time data, signed so higher = higher expected return. Restricted to the Technology sector, then sorted into quintiles within that sector. The virtual ETF is long the top bucket, short the bottom, cap-weighted, rebalanced monthly. FF5 alpha regresses the long-short on the Fama-French 5 factors.

Hypothetical research backtest. Not an offer, recommendation, or investment advice.