ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1TSLA | TESLA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.57T | 87.33% |
2DHI | HORTON D R INC | Consumer Cyclical | $40.40B | 2.25% |
3PHM | PULTEGROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $23.36B | 1.30% |
4LEN | LENNAR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $19.88B | 1.11% |
5NVR | NVR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $15.38B | 0.86% |
6CART | INSTACART (MAPLEBEAR INC) | Consumer Cyclical | $13.84B | 0.77% |
7TOL | TOLL BROTHERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $13.64B | 0.76% |
8DECK | DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $11.28B | 0.63% |
9LULU | LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $11.03B | 0.61% |
10MHK | MOHAWK INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.52B | 0.47% |
11SKY | CHAMPION HOMES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.96B | 0.28% |
12CVCO | CAVCO INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.90B | 0.27% |
13MBLY | MOBILEYE GLOBAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.79B | 0.27% |
14MTH | MERITAGE HOMES CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $4.17B | 0.23% |
15THO | THOR INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.99B | 0.22% |
16GNTX | GENTEX CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $3.98B | 0.22% |
17DORM | DORMAN PRODUCTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.89B | 0.22% |
18FIGS | FIGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.76B | 0.21% |
19PTRN | PATTERN GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.70B | 0.21% |
20COLM | COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO | Consumer Cyclical | $3.61B | 0.20% |
21MHO | M/I HOMES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.17B | 0.18% |
22OSW | ONESPAWORLD HOLDINGS LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $3.07B | 0.17% |
23CALY | CALLAWAY GOLF CO | Consumer Cyclical | $2.90B | 0.16% |
24GRBK | GREEN BRICK PARTNERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.58B | 0.14% |
25MCRI | MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.95B | 0.11% |
26PRSU | PURSUIT ATTRACTIONS & HOSPITALITY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.47B | 0.08% |
27GIII | G III APPAREL GROUP LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 0.08% |
28TRS | TRIMAS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 0.08% |
29RVLV | REVOLVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.33B | 0.07% |
30XPEL | XPEL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.04B | 0.06% |
31WGO | WINNEBAGO INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $883M | 0.05% |
32MOV | MOVADO GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $713M | 0.04% |
33LEGH | LEGACY HOUSING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $675M | 0.04% |
34CNNE | CANNAE HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $668M | 0.04% |
35WEYS | WEYCO GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $578M | 0.03% |
36MLR | MILLER INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $551M | 0.03% |
37MCFT | MASTERCRAFT BOAT HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $522M | 0.03% |
38JOUT | JOHNSON OUTDOORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $499M | 0.03% |
39ETD | ETHAN ALLEN INTERIORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $446M | 0.02% |
40XMAX | XMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $423M | 0.02% |
41SHOE | SHOE STATION GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $386M | 0.02% |
42ESCA | ESCALADE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $289M | 0.02% |
43ELA | ENVELA CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $270M | 0.01% |
44STRT | STRATTEC SECURITY CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $251M | 0.01% |
45AOUT | AMERICAN OUTDOOR BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $240M | 0.01% |
46DIBS | 1STDIBSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $199M | 0.01% |
47CLAR | CLARUS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $198M | 0.01% |
48HOFT | HOOKER FURNISHINGS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $156M | 0.01% |
49MED | MEDIFAST INC | Consumer Cyclical | $144M | 0.01% |
50UFI | UNIFI INC | Consumer Cyclical | $125M | 0.01% |
51VIRC | VIRCO MFG CORPORATION | Consumer Cyclical | $100M | 0.01% |
52JRSH | JERASH HOLDINGS (US) INC | Consumer Cyclical | $93M | 0.01% |
53LAKE | LAKELAND INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $92M | 0.01% |
54CPHC | CANTERBURY PARK HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $81M | 0.00% |
Full long-leg book as of November 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $1.80T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 302-name universe at November 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.8B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.64, Growth < 0.36 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 98% toward Large, 91% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → November 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 54 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
At least 50% of total assets must sit in cash, government securities, other RICs, and other securities limited to 5% of assets and 10% of the issuer's voting securities per issuer.
Arithmetically entailed by '40 Act 5(b)(1) diversification (75%/5% asset leg) — it cannot fail independently, so it is reported outside the tally rather than counted as a separate check.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20261113T032607 rows=2198308 asof=202611 issuers=20261113T052248 rates=20261113T052248
Measured on the 2026-11 formation date across 54 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 335 monthly observations · about 3.4 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators disagree about the verdict, not just the value — the choice of method decides the answer here. Historical VaR gives ratio 2.40 (fail) but Gaussian VaR gives 1.92 (pass). The pass/fail conclusion is an artefact of estimator choice, not a property of the strategy.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | -7.7% | -9.9% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 13.1% | 0.7% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | -6.1% | -7.3% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 3.0% | -6.9% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 3.5% | -4.1% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 202611 mo | -10.5% | -13.1% |
| 2025 | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| 2024 | 41.5% | 20.8% |
| 2023 | 55.1% | 22.7% |
| 2022 | -62.0% | -42.0% |
| 2021 | 1.2% | -28.9% |
| 2020 | 18.2% | -3.3% |
| 2019 | 20.9% | -7.7% |
| 2018 | -2.6% | 9.3% |
| 2017 | 18.1% | -7.0% |
| 2016 | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| 2015 | -12.7% | -31.2% |
| 2014 | -3.5% | -3.6% |
| 2013 | 31.8% | -10.5% |
| 2012 | 12.6% | -9.8% |
| 2011 | 4.9% | 16.4% |
| 2010 | 25.9% | -8.2% |
| 2009 | 68.9% | -4.6% |
| 2008 | -50.8% | 2.1% |
| 2007 | -4.2% | -17.2% |
| 2006 | -6.3% | -17.7% |
| 2005 | -6.5% | 0.2% |
| 2004 | 48.5% | 31.6% |
| 2003 | 54.6% | 7.3% |
| 2002 | -14.3% | 3.4% |
| 2001 | 27.4% | 21.0% |
| 2000 | -41.1% | -24.3% |
| 1999 | 7.0% | 19.2% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through November 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical Book Leverage Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a Book Leverage signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.