ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1BKNG | BOOKING HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $119.88B | 15.04% |
2ABNB | AIRBNB INC | Consumer Cyclical | $108.09B | 13.56% |
3CVNA | CARVANA CO | Consumer Cyclical | $78.16B | 9.80% |
4ROST | ROSS STORES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $75.79B | 9.51% |
5NKE | NIKE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $56.09B | 7.03% |
6YUM | YUM BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $42.74B | 5.36% |
7EXPE | EXPEDIA GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $30.95B | 3.88% |
8WSM | WILLIAMS SONOMA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $29.49B | 3.70% |
9CPNG | COUPANG INC | Consumer Cyclical | $27.40B | 3.44% |
10RL | RALPH LAUREN CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $23.10B | 2.90% |
11RIVN | RIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $18.68B | 2.34% |
12NVR | NVR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $15.38B | 1.93% |
13W | WAYFAIR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $15.25B | 1.91% |
14CART | INSTACART (MAPLEBEAR INC) | Consumer Cyclical | $13.84B | 1.74% |
15GME | GAMESTOP CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $12.93B | 1.62% |
16DECK | DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $11.28B | 1.42% |
17DPZ | DOMINOS PIZZA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $10.96B | 1.37% |
18DKNG | DRAFTKINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $9.53B | 1.19% |
19ETSY | ETSY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.61B | 0.95% |
20ANDG | ANDERSEN GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.39B | 0.93% |
21CAVA | CAVA GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.70B | 0.84% |
22FTDR | FRONTDOOR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.45B | 0.81% |
23ANF | ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO | Consumer Cyclical | $6.39B | 0.80% |
24IBP | INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.95B | 0.75% |
25SKY | CHAMPION HOMES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.96B | 0.62% |
26CVCO | CAVCO INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.90B | 0.61% |
27WING | WINGSTOP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.31B | 0.54% |
28PTRN | PATTERN GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.70B | 0.46% |
29HOG | HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.28B | 0.41% |
30CARG | CARGURUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.06B | 0.38% |
31AAP | ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.76B | 0.35% |
32RSI | RUSH STREET INTERACTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.72B | 0.34% |
33PTON | PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.47B | 0.31% |
34BKE | BUCKLE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.26B | 0.28% |
35LIND | LINDBLAD EXPEDITIONS HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.24B | 0.28% |
36MCRI | MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.95B | 0.25% |
37ARHS | ARHAUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.92B | 0.24% |
38REAL | THEREALREAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.78B | 0.22% |
39LQDT | LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.41B | 0.18% |
40GIII | G III APPAREL GROUP LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 0.17% |
41TRS | TRIMAS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 0.17% |
42RVLV | REVOLVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.33B | 0.17% |
43CRI | CARTERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.24B | 0.16% |
44ACEL | ACCEL ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.11B | 0.14% |
45WINA | WINMARK CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $967M | 0.12% |
46BH | BIGLARI HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $880M | 0.11% |
47TRIP | TRIPADVISOR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $855M | 0.11% |
48MOV | MOVADO GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $713M | 0.09% |
49WEYS | WEYCO GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $578M | 0.07% |
50JOUT | JOHNSON OUTDOORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $499M | 0.06% |
51XMAX | XMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $423M | 0.05% |
52HBB | HAMILTON BEACH BRANDS HOLDING CO | Consumer Cyclical | $410M | 0.05% |
53HVT | HAVERTY FURNITURE COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $405M | 0.05% |
54JILL | JJILL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $333M | 0.04% |
55ELA | ENVELA CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $270M | 0.03% |
56STRT | STRATTEC SECURITY CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $251M | 0.03% |
57DIBS | 1STDIBSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $199M | 0.02% |
58MED | MEDIFAST INC | Consumer Cyclical | $144M | 0.02% |
59BDL | FLANIGANS ENTERPRISES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $107M | 0.01% |
60CPHC | CANTERBURY PARK HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $81M | 0.01% |
61PRTS | CARPARTSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $68M | 0.01% |
Full long-leg book as of November 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $797.33B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 302-name universe at November 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.8B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.64, Growth < 0.36 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 96% toward Large, 70% toward Growth. +3% unclassified (4 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → November 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 61 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20261113T032607 rows=2198308 asof=202611 issuers=20261113T043645 rates=20261113T043645
Measured on the 2026-11 formation date across 61 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 335 monthly observations · about 3.4 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | -7.2% | -10.2% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | -1.9% | -11.8% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | -9.5% | -15.4% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 12.6% | 1.5% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 9.9% | 1.8% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 202611 mo | -10.9% | -15.8% |
| 2025 | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| 2024 | -4.5% | -19.3% |
| 2023 | 52.5% | 27.1% |
| 2022 | -52.1% | -45.7% |
| 2021 | 19.2% | -13.7% |
| 2020 | 161.2% | 125.9% |
| 2019 | 30.6% | -0.3% |
| 2018 | -7.5% | 5.9% |
| 2017 | 34.6% | 18.7% |
| 2016 | 1.3% | -5.7% |
| 2015 | 26.9% | 25.6% |
| 2014 | -3.7% | -19.4% |
| 2013 | 41.8% | -0.9% |
| 2012 | 19.3% | -8.0% |
| 2011 | 12.3% | 22.2% |
| 2010 | 19.2% | -16.5% |
| 2009 | 84.3% | 37.2% |
| 2008 | -45.8% | -16.8% |
| 2007 | 5.3% | 41.3% |
| 2006 | 18.2% | 7.2% |
| 2005 | -1.5% | -6.6% |
| 2004 | 24.7% | 6.5% |
| 2003 | 55.2% | 22.8% |
| 2002 | -19.8% | -6.1% |
| 2001 | 37.3% | 11.3% |
| 2000 | -48.5% | -46.4% |
| 1999 | 13.1% | 30.2% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through November 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical Cash Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a Cash signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.